Sunday, May 1, 2011

2012 Election Candidates

John Huntsman of Utah seems to be the leading Republican prospect for the 2012 presidential election. Other possible candidates include Mitch Daniels of Indiana, Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska, Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin, the chairman of the Budget Committee.

New York Times, May 1, 2011
Republicans Are Pursuing a Wider Field for 2012 Race

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Congress to Debate on Oil and Gas Tax Subsidies

President Obama is seeking a repeal of tax incentives for oil and gas producers in the U.S. Revenue from the repealed tax subsidies would likely be spent to fund clean energy research which would provide for less expensive fuel alternatives.

New York Times, April 30, 2011
Gas Prices Spur Sound and Fury in Washington

Friday, April 29, 2011

Oil Prices and Winter Weather Slow U.S. Economic Growth

Domestic economic output grew at an annual rate of 1.8% in the first quarter of 2011 after expanding at a rate of 3.1% in the previous quarter. The slower growth was attributed to higher oil prices and winter weather.

Higher oil prices led to decreased profits for businesses and less discretionary income for consumers. Winter weather also took its toll by closing many businesses and delaying construction on new homes.

New York Times, April 29, 2011
U.S. Economy Grew 1.8% in First Quarter

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Oil and Gas Prices Continue to Rise

Commodity prices, particularly oil and gasoline, have shown significant increases year-to-date. These prices will continue to be closely watched as the Federal Reserve enters their final phase of bond-buying. Following the end of the program in June, the focus is expected to turn to a debate on the federal funds rate, which has remained at 0 - 0.25% since December 2008.

Wall Street Journal, April 28, 2011
Crude-Oil, Gasoline Prices Climb

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

U.S. FOMC Meeting Focuses on Inflation

The Federal Reserve announced it would continue its bond buying program through June as scheduled. The inflation outlook is not expected to warrant an increase in interest rates immediately following the end of QE2. However, commodity prices have steadily been pushing higher and the Fed raised their inflation forecast from 1.3% to 1.7% in 2011. The Fed did not foreshadow the economy reaching its expected inflation rate of 2% until as late as 2013 which would probably not call for a raise in the interest rate in the near future. The Federal Reserve's next scheduled FOMC meeting will be in July.

Wall Street Journal, Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Fed Signals Intent to Complete Bond Buying

Watch Ben Bernanke's FOMC press conference:
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's FOMC Press Conference

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Treasury Market Awaits Federal Reserve Announcements

Treasury trading volume was significantly lower on Monday as investors awaited announcements by the Federal Reserve on policy decisions.

Closing Treasury yields on Monday were the following:

1-year note 0.206%
3-year note 1.119%
5-year note 2.069%
10-year note 3.365%
30-year note 4.456%

Tuesday, April 26, 2011